Welcome to December racing everyone.
I gave a couple of pesos back last week but I am looking to extend my lead on the house before I have to reset the barometer on 1 January.
I like the shape of Saturday’s Rosehill card. There’s a few middling races but they should be pretty competitive, and there’s a couple of good things to fill our stocking. I am going with 12 units across the card.
Dixie’s 2020 tally Units bet: 497 Units won: 568.10 Stats are based on one unit being equal to a $1 win bet New South Wales dividends. See the comments for any changes based on scratchings or track condition.
Race 2 – 10 Red Stiletto (one unit) I am starting today with a sneaky little bet on one at odds. Red Stiletto has been going around against some quality three-year-olds including Peltzer and Wild Ruler. She steps right back in class here and gets her chance right down in the weights. Ellsberg ran in the same race at Newcastle. He was a bit wayward there but could really focus now with blinkers on.
Race 4 – 8 The Elanora (one unit) The Elanora won a good race last start, and being lightly raced, could go on with it here against a few older horses. Atlantic King has a few wraps on him. Nyami’s a chance too.
Race 5 – 7 Enchanted Heart (two units) I quite like Enchanted Heart. This horse seems to be in her best form at the moment and drops nicely, although it’s a step up in class. The main point is she loved the 1400 metres (four from eight) and dry track. Bigboyroy rated very highly on his win last start but might be looking for a mile.
Race 6 – 13 Significance (two units) With Accountability up in weight again, Significance is the one with the form around that horse who lines up nicely into this. This horse is drawn better than last time when the wide gate forced her to sit off them. He can be better late than last time. If he’s in the mix Proletariat can’t be far away. I had Gone Bye as the main danger after a good midweek win from in front.
Race 7 – 13 Hulk (four units) Yes please with Hulk today. He’s in great form, the 1100-metre trip is fine and he’s in well with the minimum weight. The danger I had was Mo’s Crown. I’ve marked him down for no wins at the distance and maybe liking a softer track. Albumin at huge odds can pop up every now and then. Poetic Charmer should run well fresh.
Race 8 – 2 Invinciano (one unit) Invinciano’s first-up record isn’t great, but he’s only had eight weeks off so he shouldn’t have lost all of his condition. She’s in pretty well at this level. This race was tricky. I had 12/5/7/6/13 all with good chances.
Race 9 – 12 Rammstein (one unit) I am happy to finish with Rammstein. Big Parade is off my list, carrying big weight after he failed last time. This guy just missed last time and should be fit stepping down to 1200 metres. Surreal Step, Let It Pour and Above And Beyond were all high in the ratings.
Good luck and good punting. Please hit me up with your thoughts and selections across the card.